Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1.975177 2.252302 2.556585 2.915841 3.328895 3.789494 4.342847
2025-10-12 1.648461 2.029293 2.482234 3.062180 3.787274 4.666825 5.819105
2025-10-19 1.388298 1.821612 2.372607 3.128085 4.142468 5.465032 7.332653
2025-10-26 1.194747 1.655930 2.277140 3.181045 4.472795 6.267468 8.976244
2025-11-02 1.006662 1.462550 2.107913 3.096694 4.588810 6.780892 10.290374
2025-11-09 0.841396 1.273665 1.912740 2.937304 4.559589 7.064032 11.290506
2025-11-16 0.742067 1.166559 1.819784 2.912012 4.720698 7.645578 12.832736
2025-11-23 0.654118 1.064040 1.718161 2.854580 4.815172 8.123844 14.266952
2025-11-30 0.618523 1.040195 1.737345 2.994875 5.253774 9.230114 16.957288
2025-12-07 0.576422 0.999467 1.722064 3.071504 5.587942 10.195073 19.538390
2025-12-14 0.524808 0.935610 1.658451 3.051866 5.741145 10.846193 21.616597
2025-12-21 0.466309 0.852484 1.550535 2.935572 5.693834 11.106324 22.948106
2025-12-28 0.446496 0.839385 1.571177 3.070744 6.163922 12.464225 26.826402
2026-01-04 0.429662 0.829958 1.597615 3.221021 6.687050 14.010677 31.397647
2026-01-11 0.404738 0.801792 1.584211 3.288292 7.046105 15.265388 35.542900
2026-01-18 0.380949 0.773077 1.566143 3.342949 7.385039 16.526288 39.935097
2026-01-25 0.346018 0.717474 1.486418 3.253470 7.387652 17.023445 42.547435
2026-02-01 0.308168 0.651589 1.377679 3.085266 7.183897 17.004336 43.838731
2026-02-08 0.286078 0.617332 1.333335 3.058481 7.312134 17.804972 47.434998
2026-02-15 0.263564 0.579764 1.277601 2.997920 7.349183 18.383864 50.536806
2026-02-22 0.258139 0.580037 1.307066 3.145645 7.930313 20.445963 58.223314
2026-03-01 0.248285 0.569041 1.309263 3.226340 8.350127 22.148805 65.207921
2026-03-08 0.232730 0.543022 1.273204 3.205645 8.497461 23.132652 70.216260